
Moon Over Park Avenue
At Park Avenue in Arches National Park, everyone was shooting the canyon walls. The photo I kept was behind me: a thin sliver of moon, converted to black and white.

Inevitability
AI job displacement has been called inevitable for years. But look at who's saying it, and why. A look at the incentives shaping the AI narrative.

We're All Wrong in the Same Places
When everyone uses the same AI tools trained on the same data, the variation across a field doesn't disappear. It converges. What the research shows.

Foto Friday: Pika Gathering Food for Winter
A pika at Rocky Mountain National Park, mid-haypile run. Small, vocal, and one of the more reliable indicators biologists have for how alpine ecosystems are doing.

Your Second Opinion Agrees With You
We replaced skeptical colleagues and devil's advocates with AI, which is trained to agree. Here's what that costs you and how to build friction back in.

The Judgment Problem
AI keeps getting cheaper at execution but still can't decide which problems are worth solving. Why judgment is the scarce skill for leaders, whatever the AI timeline.

Foto Friday: Fog in the Canyon
A 2019 sunset from the North Rim of the Grand Canyon, and the atmospheric haze that gives the canyon its depth.

The Confidence Problem
AI outputs confidence whether it's right or wrong. Research shows models use more certain language when hallucinating than when correct — which means the signal we naturally use to evaluate sources actively misleads us.

Foto Friday: Grand Canyon Sunrise
My first photography workshop, my first trip to Grand Canyon, and a sunrise that taught me what seven years of craft looks like in reverse.

The Craft Problem
Vibe coding and genuine excellence pull in opposite directions. One eliminates the conditions required for craft. The other requires them.
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